# agent-office/app/curator/signals.py
"""LottoAgent 능동 모니터링 — 시그널 평가 & adaptive baseline (순수 함수).

DB I/O 없음. 입력은 모두 dict/list, 출력도 dict/list.
signal_runner.py에서 DB 연동 + cron 진입점 담당.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import math
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from statistics import mean, stdev
from typing import Any, Dict, List, Optional, Tuple


# ---------- Metric: Sim Consensus ----------

def _normalize_columns(picks: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> List[List[float]]:
    """20개 후보의 5종 점수 컬럼별 min-max normalize → 후보별 5종 정규화 점수."""
    if not picks:
        return []
    n_metrics = len(picks[0]["scores"])
    columns = [[p["scores"][k] for p in picks] for k in range(n_metrics)]
    norms_per_col = []
    for col in columns:
        lo, hi = min(col), max(col)
        rng = hi - lo
        if rng == 0:
            # 모두 0이면 0.0(기하평균 페널티), 모두 동일한 양수면 0.5(타이 처리)
            fallback = 0.0 if lo == 0 else 0.5
            norms_per_col.append([fallback] * len(col))
        else:
            norms_per_col.append([(v - lo) / rng for v in col])
    return [
        [norms_per_col[k][i] for k in range(n_metrics)]
        for i in range(len(picks))
    ]


def _geomean(values: List[float]) -> float:
    """기하평균. 0이 하나라도 있으면 0 (한 차원이 0인 후보 강하게 페널티)."""
    if not values:
        return 0.0
    if any(v <= 0 for v in values):
        return 0.0
    log_sum = sum(math.log(v) for v in values)
    return math.exp(log_sum / len(values))


def sim_consensus_score(best_picks: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> float:
    """top-10 후보의 기하평균 consensus 평균."""
    if not best_picks:
        return 0.0
    normalized = _normalize_columns(best_picks)
    consensus = [_geomean(scores) for scores in normalized]
    consensus.sort(reverse=True)
    top = consensus[:10] if len(consensus) >= 10 else consensus
    return mean(top) if top else 0.0


# ---------- Metric: Strategy Drift ----------

def strategy_drift_score(prev: Dict[str, float], curr: Dict[str, float]) -> float:
    """가중치 변화 절댓값 합. 신규/소멸 전략도 가산."""
    keys = set(prev) | set(curr)
    return sum(abs(curr.get(k, 0.0) - prev.get(k, 0.0)) for k in keys)


# ---------- Metric: Confidence ----------

def confidence_score(curate_result: Dict[str, Any]) -> Optional[float]:
    """큐레이션 결과의 confidence를 0~1로 clamp. 없으면 None."""
    if "confidence" not in curate_result:
        return None
    v = float(curate_result["confidence"])
    return max(0.0, min(1.0, v))


# ---------- Adaptive Baseline ----------

@dataclass
class AdaptiveBaseline:
    window: List[float] = field(default_factory=list)
    window_max: int = 8
    last_pushed_draw_no: Optional[int] = None

    @property
    def size(self) -> int:
        return len(self.window)

    @property
    def mu(self) -> float:
        return mean(self.window) if self.window else 0.0

    @property
    def sigma(self) -> float:
        return stdev(self.window) if len(self.window) >= 2 else 0.0

    def push(self, value: float, draw_no: Optional[int] = None) -> None:
        """FIFO push. window_max 초과 시 가장 오래된 값 제거."""
        self.window.append(float(value))
        if len(self.window) > self.window_max:
            self.window = self.window[-self.window_max:]
        if draw_no is not None:
            self.last_pushed_draw_no = draw_no

    def evaluate(self, value: float, z_normal: float, z_urgent: float) -> Tuple[Optional[float], str]:
        """z-score 계산 + fire_level 판정.

        Returns:
            (z_score, fire_level) — z_score는 cold start/warmup이면 None.
            fire_level ∈ {'warmup', 'noop', 'normal', 'urgent'}

        NOTE: z_score is None when sigma==0 (degenerate window) or warmup.
        Callers must treat None as "signal present but unquantified" — do not
        compare None with thresholds directly.
        """
        if self.size < 4:
            return None, "warmup"

        z_normal_eff = 2.0 if self.size < self.window_max else z_normal
        z_urgent_eff = z_urgent

        if self.sigma == 0:
            return (None, "urgent") if value > self.mu else (None, "noop")

        z = (value - self.mu) / self.sigma
        if z >= z_urgent_eff:
            return z, "urgent"
        if z >= z_normal_eff:
            return z, "normal"
        return z, "noop"


# ---------- Combined fire decision ----------

def decide_overall_fire(signal_results: List[Dict[str, Any]]) -> str:
    """3종 시그널을 종합해 전체 fire_level 결정.

    Args:
        signal_results: [{"metric": str, "z": float|None, "fire": str}, ...]
    Returns:
        'noop' | 'normal' | 'urgent'
    """
    fires = [s for s in signal_results if s["fire"] in ("normal", "urgent")]
    if any(s["fire"] == "urgent" for s in fires):
        return "urgent"
    if len(fires) >= 2:
        return "urgent"
    if len(fires) == 1:
        return "normal"
    return "noop"