Files
ai-trade/modules/analysis/deep_learning.py

464 lines
17 KiB
Python

import os
import time
import torch
import torch.nn as nn
import numpy as np
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from modules.config import Config
# cuDNN 벤치마크 활성화 (고정 입력 크기에 대해 최적 커널 자동 선택)
torch.backends.cudnn.benchmark = True
class Attention(nn.Module):
def __init__(self, hidden_size):
super(Attention, self).__init__()
self.attn = nn.Linear(hidden_size, 1)
def forward(self, lstm_output):
attn_weights = torch.softmax(self.attn(lstm_output), dim=1)
context = torch.sum(attn_weights * lstm_output, dim=1)
return context, attn_weights
class AdvancedLSTM(nn.Module):
def __init__(self, input_size=1, hidden_size=512, num_layers=4, output_size=1, dropout=0.3):
super(AdvancedLSTM, self).__init__()
self.hidden_size = hidden_size
self.num_layers = num_layers
self.lstm = nn.LSTM(input_size, hidden_size, num_layers,
batch_first=True, dropout=dropout)
self.attention = Attention(hidden_size)
self.fc = nn.Sequential(
nn.Linear(hidden_size, hidden_size // 2),
nn.ReLU(),
nn.Dropout(dropout),
nn.Linear(hidden_size // 2, hidden_size // 4),
nn.ReLU(),
nn.Linear(hidden_size // 4, output_size)
)
def forward(self, x):
h0 = torch.zeros(self.num_layers, x.size(0), self.hidden_size).to(x.device)
c0 = torch.zeros(self.num_layers, x.size(0), self.hidden_size).to(x.device)
lstm_out, _ = self.lstm(x, (h0, c0))
context, _ = self.attention(lstm_out)
out = self.fc(context)
return out
def _unload_ollama():
"""LSTM 학습 전 Ollama 모델 언로드하여 GPU 메모리 확보"""
try:
import requests
url = f"{Config.OLLAMA_API_URL}/api/generate"
requests.post(url, json={
"model": Config.OLLAMA_MODEL,
"keep_alive": 0
}, timeout=5)
print("[AI] Ollama model unloaded (GPU memory freed)")
time.sleep(1) # 메모리 해제 대기
except Exception:
pass
def _preload_ollama():
"""LSTM 학습 후 Ollama 모델 다시 로드"""
try:
import requests
url = f"{Config.OLLAMA_API_URL}/api/generate"
requests.post(url, json={
"model": Config.OLLAMA_MODEL,
"prompt": "",
"keep_alive": "10m"
}, timeout=10)
except Exception:
pass
def _log_gpu_memory(tag=""):
"""GPU 메모리 사용량 로깅"""
if torch.cuda.is_available():
allocated = torch.cuda.memory_allocated(0) / 1024**3
reserved = torch.cuda.memory_reserved(0) / 1024**3
print(f"[AI GPU {tag}] Allocated: {allocated:.2f}GB / Reserved: {reserved:.2f}GB")
class PricePredictor:
"""
주가 예측 Deep Learning 모델 (GPU 최적화)
- 전체 학습 데이터를 GPU에 상주 (CPU↔GPU 전송 최소화)
- Ollama 모델 언로드/리로드로 GPU 메모리 확보
- Early Stopping + Mixed Precision (FP16)
- 종목별 모델 체크포인트
"""
def __init__(self):
self.scaler = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1))
self.hidden_size = 512
self.num_layers = 4
self.model = AdvancedLSTM(input_size=1, hidden_size=self.hidden_size,
num_layers=self.num_layers, dropout=0.3)
self.criterion = nn.MSELoss()
# CUDA 설정
self.device = torch.device('cpu')
self.use_amp = False
if torch.cuda.is_available():
try:
gpu_name = torch.cuda.get_device_name(0)
vram_gb = torch.cuda.get_device_properties(0).total_memory / 1024**3
self.device = torch.device('cuda')
self.model.to(self.device)
# Mixed Precision (Compute Capability >= 7.0: Volta 이상)
if torch.cuda.get_device_capability(0)[0] >= 7:
self.use_amp = True
# Warm-up: CUDA 커널 컴파일 유도
dummy = torch.zeros(1, 60, 1, device=self.device)
with torch.no_grad():
_ = self.model(dummy)
torch.cuda.synchronize()
print(f"[AI] GPU Mode: {gpu_name} ({vram_gb:.1f}GB)"
f" | FP16={'ON' if self.use_amp else 'OFF'}"
f" | cuDNN Benchmark=ON")
_log_gpu_memory("init")
except Exception as e:
print(f"[AI] GPU Init Failed ({e}), falling back to CPU")
self.device = torch.device('cpu')
self.model.to(self.device)
else:
print("[AI] No CUDA GPU detected. Running on CPU.")
self.optimizer = torch.optim.AdamW(self.model.parameters(), lr=0.001, weight_decay=1e-4)
# [v2.0] Learning Rate Scheduler (ReduceLROnPlateau: val_loss 정체 시 lr 감소)
self.lr_scheduler = torch.optim.lr_scheduler.ReduceLROnPlateau(
self.optimizer, mode='min', factor=0.5, patience=7, min_lr=1e-6, verbose=False
)
self.scaler_amp = torch.amp.GradScaler('cuda') if self.use_amp else None
self.batch_size = 64
self.max_epochs = 200
self.seq_length = 60
self.patience = 15
# [v2.0] Gradient Clipping 값 (exploding gradient 방지)
self.max_grad_norm = 1.0
self.training_status = {
"is_training": False,
"loss": 0.0,
"current_ticker": None
}
@staticmethod
def verify_hardware():
if torch.cuda.is_available():
try:
gpu_name = torch.cuda.get_device_name(0)
vram_gb = torch.cuda.get_device_properties(0).total_memory / 1024**3
print(f"[AI Check] {gpu_name} ({vram_gb:.1f}GB VRAM) | cuDNN={torch.backends.cudnn.is_available()}")
return True
except Exception as e:
print(f"[AI Check] GPU Error: {e}")
return False
print("[AI Check] No GPU. CPU Mode.")
return False
def _get_checkpoint_path(self, ticker):
return os.path.join(Config.MODEL_DIR, f"{ticker}_lstm.pt")
def _load_checkpoint(self, ticker):
path = self._get_checkpoint_path(ticker)
if os.path.exists(path):
try:
checkpoint = torch.load(path, map_location=self.device, weights_only=True)
self.model.load_state_dict(checkpoint['model_state_dict'])
self.optimizer.load_state_dict(checkpoint['optimizer_state_dict'])
print(f"[AI] Checkpoint loaded: {ticker}")
return True
except Exception as e:
print(f"[AI] Checkpoint load failed ({ticker}): {e}")
return False
def _save_checkpoint(self, ticker, epoch, loss):
path = self._get_checkpoint_path(ticker)
try:
torch.save({
'model_state_dict': self.model.state_dict(),
'optimizer_state_dict': self.optimizer.state_dict(),
'epoch': epoch,
'loss': loss
}, path)
except Exception as e:
print(f"[AI] Checkpoint save failed ({ticker}): {e}")
def train_and_predict(self, prices, forecast_days=1, ticker=None):
if len(prices) < (self.seq_length + 10):
return None
is_gpu = self.device.type == 'cuda'
# --- Ollama 모델 언로드 (GPU 메모리 확보) ---
if is_gpu:
_unload_ollama()
torch.cuda.empty_cache()
_log_gpu_memory("pre-train")
t_start = time.time()
# 1. 데이터 전처리 (CPU에서 numpy 작업)
data = np.array(prices).reshape(-1, 1)
scaled_data = self.scaler.fit_transform(data)
x_seqs, y_seqs = [], []
for i in range(len(scaled_data) - self.seq_length):
x_seqs.append(scaled_data[i:i + self.seq_length])
y_seqs.append(scaled_data[i + self.seq_length])
# 2. 텐서 생성 → 즉시 GPU로 이동 (이후 CPU↔GPU 전송 없음)
x_all = torch.FloatTensor(np.array(x_seqs)).to(self.device)
y_all = torch.FloatTensor(np.array(y_seqs)).to(self.device)
# Validation split (80/20)
split_idx = int(len(x_all) * 0.8)
x_train = x_all[:split_idx]
y_train = y_all[:split_idx]
x_val = x_all[split_idx:]
y_val = y_all[split_idx:]
dataset_size = len(x_train)
# 3. 체크포인트 로드
has_checkpoint = False
if ticker:
has_checkpoint = self._load_checkpoint(ticker)
max_epochs = 50 if has_checkpoint else self.max_epochs
# 4. 학습 (전체 데이터 GPU 상주, DataLoader 미사용)
# [v2.0] LR Scheduler 리셋
self.optimizer.param_groups[0]['lr'] = 0.001 if not has_checkpoint else 0.0005
self.lr_scheduler = torch.optim.lr_scheduler.ReduceLROnPlateau(
self.optimizer, mode='min', factor=0.5, patience=7, min_lr=1e-6, verbose=False
)
self.model.train()
self.training_status["is_training"] = True
if ticker:
self.training_status["current_ticker"] = ticker
best_val_loss = float('inf')
best_model_state = None # [v2.0] Best Model 저장
patience_counter = 0
final_loss = 0.0
actual_epochs = 0
for epoch in range(max_epochs):
# --- Training (GPU 내에서 셔플 + 미니배치) ---
perm = torch.randperm(dataset_size, device=self.device)
x_shuffled = x_train[perm]
y_shuffled = y_train[perm]
epoch_loss = 0.0
steps = 0
for i in range(0, dataset_size, self.batch_size):
end = min(i + self.batch_size, dataset_size)
batch_x = x_shuffled[i:end]
batch_y = y_shuffled[i:end]
self.optimizer.zero_grad(set_to_none=True)
if self.use_amp:
with torch.amp.autocast('cuda'):
outputs = self.model(batch_x)
loss = self.criterion(outputs, batch_y)
self.scaler_amp.scale(loss).backward()
# [v2.0] Gradient Clipping (AMP 호환)
self.scaler_amp.unscale_(self.optimizer)
torch.nn.utils.clip_grad_norm_(self.model.parameters(), self.max_grad_norm)
self.scaler_amp.step(self.optimizer)
self.scaler_amp.update()
else:
outputs = self.model(batch_x)
loss = self.criterion(outputs, batch_y)
loss.backward()
# [v2.0] Gradient Clipping
torch.nn.utils.clip_grad_norm_(self.model.parameters(), self.max_grad_norm)
self.optimizer.step()
epoch_loss += loss.item()
steps += 1
train_loss = epoch_loss / max(1, steps)
# --- Validation (GPU에서 직접 수행) ---
self.model.eval()
with torch.no_grad():
if self.use_amp:
with torch.amp.autocast('cuda'):
val_out = self.model(x_val)
val_loss = self.criterion(val_out, y_val).item()
else:
val_out = self.model(x_val)
val_loss = self.criterion(val_out, y_val).item()
self.model.train()
# [v2.0] LR Scheduler step (val_loss 기반)
self.lr_scheduler.step(val_loss)
final_loss = train_loss
actual_epochs = epoch + 1
if val_loss < best_val_loss:
best_val_loss = val_loss
patience_counter = 0
# [v2.0] Best model 상태 저장 (overfitting 방지)
best_model_state = {k: v.clone() for k, v in self.model.state_dict().items()}
else:
patience_counter += 1
if patience_counter >= self.patience:
break
# [v2.0] Best model 복원 (early stopping 후 최적 상태로 복구)
if best_model_state:
self.model.load_state_dict(best_model_state)
self.training_status["is_training"] = False
self.training_status["loss"] = final_loss
if is_gpu:
torch.cuda.synchronize()
elapsed = time.time() - t_start
print(f"[AI] {ticker or '?'}: {actual_epochs} epochs in {elapsed:.1f}s"
f" | loss={final_loss:.6f} val={best_val_loss:.6f}"
f" | device={self.device}")
# 5. 체크포인트 저장
if ticker:
self._save_checkpoint(ticker, actual_epochs, final_loss)
# 6. 예측
self.model.eval()
with torch.no_grad():
last_seq = torch.FloatTensor(
scaled_data[-self.seq_length:]
).unsqueeze(0).to(self.device)
if self.use_amp:
with torch.amp.autocast('cuda'):
predicted_scaled = self.model(last_seq)
else:
predicted_scaled = self.model(last_seq)
predicted_price = self.scaler.inverse_transform(
predicted_scaled.cpu().float().numpy())[0][0]
# 7. GPU 메모리 정리 + Ollama 리로드
if is_gpu:
# 학습 중간 텐서 해제
del x_all, y_all, x_train, y_train, x_val, y_val
torch.cuda.empty_cache()
_log_gpu_memory("post-train")
_preload_ollama()
current_price = prices[-1]
trend = "UP" if predicted_price > current_price else "DOWN"
change_rate = ((predicted_price - current_price) / current_price) * 100
# [v2.0] 개선된 신뢰도 계산
# 1. 학습 손실 기반 (낮을수록 좋음)
loss_confidence = 1.0 / (1.0 + (best_val_loss * 50))
# 2. Train/Val 괴리도 (overfitting 감지)
overfit_ratio = final_loss / (best_val_loss + 1e-9)
if overfit_ratio < 0.5:
# Train loss가 Val loss보다 훨씬 낮음 = overfitting
overfit_penalty = 0.7
elif overfit_ratio > 2.0:
# Train loss가 Val loss보다 훨씬 높음 = underfitting
overfit_penalty = 0.8
else:
overfit_penalty = 1.0
# 3. 에포크 수 기반 (너무 적거나 많으면 불신)
epoch_factor = 1.0
if actual_epochs < 10:
epoch_factor = 0.6 # 학습 부족
elif actual_epochs >= max_epochs:
epoch_factor = 0.8 # 수렴 실패
confidence = min(0.95, loss_confidence * overfit_penalty * epoch_factor)
return {
"current": current_price,
"predicted": float(predicted_price),
"change_rate": round(change_rate, 2),
"trend": trend,
"loss": final_loss,
"val_loss": best_val_loss,
"confidence": round(confidence, 2),
"epochs": actual_epochs,
"device": str(self.device),
"lr": self.optimizer.param_groups[0]['lr']
}
def batch_predict(self, prices_dict):
results = {}
seqs = []
metas = []
for ticker, prices in prices_dict.items():
if len(prices) < (self.seq_length + 10):
results[ticker] = None
continue
data = np.array(prices).reshape(-1, 1)
scaler = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1))
scaled_data = scaler.fit_transform(data)
seq = torch.FloatTensor(scaled_data[-self.seq_length:]).unsqueeze(0)
seqs.append(seq)
metas.append((ticker, scaler, prices[-1]))
if not seqs:
return results
# 배치로 합쳐서 한번에 GPU 추론
batch = torch.cat(seqs, dim=0).to(self.device)
self.model.eval()
with torch.no_grad():
if self.use_amp:
with torch.amp.autocast('cuda'):
preds = self.model(batch)
else:
preds = self.model(batch)
preds_cpu = preds.cpu().float().numpy()
for i, (ticker, scaler, current_price) in enumerate(metas):
predicted_price = scaler.inverse_transform(preds_cpu[i:i+1])[0][0]
trend = "UP" if predicted_price > current_price else "DOWN"
change_rate = ((predicted_price - current_price) / current_price) * 100
results[ticker] = {
"current": current_price,
"predicted": float(predicted_price),
"change_rate": round(change_rate, 2),
"trend": trend
}
if self.device.type == 'cuda':
torch.cuda.empty_cache()
return results